Report for Model 7

— for both jointly and separately

2024-10-23

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      0.999      1.000
## LDevsum      1.004      1.023
## dh0          1.004      1.023
## dh1          1.006      1.031
## dl0          1.000      1.002
## dl1          1.019      1.089
## dl2          0.999      0.999
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.03

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1211.98933 22456.5735
DIC3 1157.31634 22543.1790
PWAIC 42.45919 251.8913
WAIC 1183.99250 22565.3621

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum          1          1
## dh0              1          1
## dh1              1          1
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0a
DIC 1217.08855
DIC3 1156.54714
PWAIC 42.02479
WAIC 1182.86175

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum      1.004      1.015
## dl0          0.999      0.999
## dl1          1.004      1.011
## dl2          1.002      1.012
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.01

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L2
DIC 22445.2545
DIC3 22543.0492
PWAIC 251.9663
WAIC 22565.4572